Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#42
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#65
Pace68.6#181
Improvement+4.8#18

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#73
First Shot+2.3#109
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#63
Layup/Dunks+0.6#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#148
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
Freethrows+1.2#89
Improvement+4.3#24

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#26
First Shot+4.7#53
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#10
Layups/Dunks+2.1#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#18
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement+0.5#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 6.02.0 - 6.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 6.03.0 - 12.0
Quad 24.0 - 4.07.0 - 16.0
Quad 35.0 - 2.012.0 - 18.0
Quad 42.0 - 0.014.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 189   North Florida W 87-72 92%     1 - 0 +10.4 +1.8 +6.9
  Nov 12, 2018 129   Jacksonville St. W 76-61 84%     2 - 0 +15.1 +7.5 +8.2
  Nov 15, 2018 91   @ DePaul L 70-72 OT 60%     2 - 1 +6.2 -7.6 +13.9
  Nov 20, 2018 132   Wright St. W 77-59 78%     3 - 1 +20.5 +9.8 +11.6
  Nov 21, 2018 158   Bradley L 56-59 84%     3 - 2 -2.7 -7.9 +4.9
  Nov 27, 2018 12   Virginia Tech W 63-62 39%     4 - 2 +14.6 +2.9 +11.8
  Dec 01, 2018 23   @ Maryland L 59-66 28%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +9.8 +0.5 +8.7
  Dec 04, 2018 39   Indiana L 62-64 59%     4 - 4 0 - 2 +6.3 -5.9 +12.2
  Dec 08, 2018 136   Colgate W 76-65 85%     5 - 4 +10.5 -0.2 +10.6
  Dec 15, 2018 31   North Carolina St. L 78-89 44%     5 - 5 +1.4 +1.6 +1.2
  Dec 19, 2018 160   @ Duquesne W 73-67 78%     6 - 5 +8.7 -0.1 +8.7
  Dec 21, 2018 55   @ Alabama L 64-73 47%     6 - 6 +2.7 -1.2 +3.8
  Dec 29, 2018 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-52 94%     7 - 6 +15.3 +17.4 +2.6
  Jan 03, 2019 6   @ Michigan L 55-68 14%     7 - 7 0 - 3 +9.7 -5.8 +15.7
  Jan 06, 2019 14   Wisconsin L 52-71 41%     7 - 8 0 - 4 -5.8 -5.1 -2.8
  Jan 10, 2019 38   @ Nebraska L 64-70 38%     7 - 9 0 - 5 +7.9 +5.9 +1.1
  Jan 13, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 56-71 23%     7 - 10 0 - 6 +3.7 -6.7 +9.8
  Jan 16, 2019 36   Iowa L 82-89 59%     7 - 11 0 - 7 +1.5 +4.0 -2.0
  Jan 19, 2019 45   @ Minnesota L 64-65 40%     7 - 12 0 - 8 +12.4 +2.4 +10.0
  Jan 26, 2019 74   Rutgers L 60-64 74%     7 - 13 0 - 9 +0.0 -7.3 +7.3
  Jan 31, 2019 10   Purdue L 90-99 OT 34%     7 - 14 0 - 10 +5.9 +19.2 -13.0
  Feb 04, 2019 71   @ Northwestern W 59-52 54%     8 - 14 1 - 10 +16.8 -1.5 +18.7
  Feb 07, 2019 46   @ Ohio St. L 70-74 40%     8 - 15 1 - 11 +9.4 +4.6 +4.8
  Feb 12, 2019 6   Michigan W 75-69 27%     9 - 15 2 - 11 +23.1 +16.8 +6.6
  Feb 16, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 64-76 18%     9 - 16 2 - 12 +8.5 -3.2 +12.0
  Feb 19, 2019 38   Nebraska W 95-71 59%     10 - 16 3 - 12 +32.3 +32.3 +1.7
  Feb 23, 2019 75   @ Illinois W 83-76 55%     11 - 16 4 - 12 +16.5 +8.2 +7.7
  Feb 27, 2019 23   Maryland W 78-61 48%     12 - 16 5 - 12 +28.2 +12.1 +16.4
  Mar 02, 2019 14   @ Wisconsin L 57-61 22%     12 - 17 5 - 13 +14.7 +4.2 +10.0
  Mar 06, 2019 74   @ Rutgers W 66-65 55%     13 - 17 6 - 13 +10.6 +0.9 +9.7
  Mar 10, 2019 75   Illinois W 72-56 74%     14 - 17 7 - 13 +19.9 +1.8 +18.4
  Mar 14, 2019 45   Minnesota L 72-77 OT 51%     14 - 18 +5.6 +2.3 +3.5
Projected Record 14.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%